Rasha da makamin hana tauraron dan adam da zai kai hari kan Starlink

Hukumar leƙen asiri ta wasu ƙasashen NATO Sun tayar da ƙararrawa: Rahotanni sun ce Rasha na aiki kan wani sabon nau'in makami mai hana tauraron dan adam wanda aka tsara don kai hari kai tsaye Tauraron taurari na StarlinkTsarin tauraron dan adam mai kewaya ƙasa da ƙasa wanda SpaceX ke sarrafawa yana da matuƙar muhimmanci ga sadarwa ta Ukraine. Bayanan, waɗanda aka raba su a asirce ga gwamnatocin ƙawance kuma aka fallasa su ga Associated Press (AP), sun bayyana wani aiki da zai iya shuka sararin samaniya gaba ɗaya da tarkace.

A cewar waɗannan takardu, Kremlin zai ga Starlink barazanar dabarun kai tsaye, idan aka yi la'akari da cewa hanyar sadarwarta ta dubban tauraron dan adam tana ba wa sojojin Ukraine babban fa'ida a fagen daga. Daga nan, Rahotanni sun ce Moscow na tallata tsarin "tasirin yanki" wanda ba wai kawai zai iya makantar ko kashe babban ɓangare na megaconstellation ba, har ma da samar da tarin tarkace tare da sakamako mara tabbas ga sauran masu ruwa da tsaki a fannin sararin samaniya, ciki har da Rasha da kawayenta.

Sabuwar ƙarni na makaman kare tauraron dan adam

Rahotannin leƙen asiri da AP ta yi nazari a kansu sun bayyana wani ra'ayi na makamai wanda ya bambanta da makamai masu linzami na zamani masu hana tauraron dan adam amfani da iko daban-daban zuwa yanzu. Maimakon yin tasiri ga wani takamaiman manufa, wannan tsarin "tasirin yanki" zai nemi mamaye sararin samaniyar da tauraron dan adam na Starlink ke aiki tare da gajimare na ƙananan harsasai masu yawa.

Manufar ita ce a saki a sararin samaniya dubban ɗaruruwan ƙananan ƙwayoyinWaɗannan gutsuttsuran, waɗanda diamitansu ya kai milimita kaɗan, suna da ikon shiga cikin faifan hasken rana, eriya, da abubuwan da ke da mahimmanci. A saurin kewayawa na sama da kilomita bakwai a kowace daƙiƙa, har ma da ƙaramin gutsuttsura ya zama harsashi mai lalata wanda zai iya cire tauraron dan adam daga aiki tare da tasiri ɗaya.

Idan aka kwatanta da gwajin Rasha na 2021—lokacin da lalata wani tsohon tauraron dan adam na Soviet ya haifar da gajimare na tarkacen sararin samaniya wanda aka yi suka sosai a duniya—wannan sabon tsarin Ba zan yi nufin ko da manufa ɗaya ba.Takardun da AP ta fitar sun nuna cewa an samu raguwar za su bazu a cikin wani babban tsarin kewayawa, wataƙila an sake shi daga tsarin ƙananan tauraron ɗan adam waɗanda ba a harba su ba tukuna.

Jami'an ƙasashen yamma da hukumar ta yi shawara da su sun dage cewa, ga Moscow, Starlink ta zama abin da ake sa ran za ta mayar da hankali a kaiCibiyar sadarwa ta Elon Musk ta bai wa Ukraine damar kiyaye hanyoyin sadarwa masu tsaro a fagen daga, daidaita hare-haren jiragen sama marasa matuki, jagorantar makamai, da kuma ci gaba da ayyukan farar hula a yankunan da aka lalata kayayyakin more rayuwa na kasa sakamakon hare-haren bama-bamai.

Kusan ƙwayoyin da ba a iya gani, masu wahalar siffantawa

Ɗaya daga cikin abubuwan da masu sharhi suka fi damuwa da shi shine cewa harsasai da aka bayyana a cikin rahotannin za su kasance ƙanana sosai har za su iya tserewa daga yawancin tsarin bin diddigin abubuwa Ɓarnakin sararin samaniyaNa'urorin radar da ke amfani da ƙasa da na'urori masu auna yanayi sau da yawa suna fuskantar matsala wajen gano abubuwa masu girman milimita kaɗan, don haka yawancin wannan ɓarawon ba za a lura da shi ba.

Wannan rashin ganin fasaha ba wai kawai zai ƙara haɗarin karo ba ne, har ma zai ƙara ta'azzara matsalar danganta kai tsaye da yiwuwar kai hari ga RashaIdan, ba zato ba tsammani, daruruwa ko daruruwan tauraron dan adam suka fara lalacewa saboda lalacewar na'urorin hasken rana ko fuselages, zai iya ɗaukar masu aiki lokaci mai tsawo don sake gina abin da ya faru da kuma wanda ke bayansa, kodayake ƙwararrun masana tsaron sararin samaniya sun nuna cewa, tare da isasshen bayanai, al'ummar duniya za ta "haɗa biyu da biyu" a ƙarshe.

The Takardun da aka fallasa sun nuna cewa mafi yawan barnar za ta ta'azzara ne a cikin allunan hasken rana na tauraron dan adamWaɗannan su ne mafi rauni da kuma abubuwan da ke cikinsa. Duk da haka, tasirin zai iya huda tankunan mai, tsarin kula da halaye, ko kayan aikin sadarwa, wanda zai haifar da mummunan gazawa da kuma asarar jirgin saman gaba ɗaya.

Jami'an leƙen asiri na ƙawancen sun jaddada cewa Taswirar Starlink tana da nisan kusan kilomita 550., yanki mai cike da sauran muhimman hanyoyin sadarwa, tsarin lura da duniya da tsaro, daga ƙasashen Yamma da Rasha, China ko wasu ƙasashe masu tasowa.

Hadarin rikicewar sararin samaniya da kuma ciwon Kessler

Yunkurin tura makamin "area effect" ya sa kwararru da dama suka yi gargaɗi game da wani yanayi da ke kusa da... babban ciwon KesslerWannan ra'ayi, wanda aka tsara a shekarun 70, ya bayyana wani tsari na sarka wanda kowace karo a cikin kewayar sararin samaniya ke haifar da ƙarin gutsuttsura, wanda hakan ke haifar da sabbin tasirin, har sai yanayin kewayen ya cika da tarkace tsawon shekaru ko ƙarni.

A cikin yanayin da aka gabatar, girgije mai yawa na ƙwayoyin cuta zai iya share dukkan wani yanki na ƙasa mai faɗiWannan zai fara lalata tauraron dan adam na aiki sannan ya wargaza ƙarin tarkace daga waɗannan karo-karo. Yayin da waɗannan tarkacen suka haɗu da wasu hanyoyi, za su iya lalata wani babban ɓangare na sama da tauraron dan adam 14.000 masu aiki da aka kiyasta suna cikin ƙasan sararin samaniyar Duniya a yau.

Masana da AP da sauran kafofin watsa labarai suka tuntuba sun jaddada cewa wani lamari mai girma zai yi tasiri Yaɗa shirye-shirye kai tsaye kan tattalin arzikin duniya da tsaroBa tare da tauraron dan adam masu aiki ba, hanyoyin sadarwa na kewayawa (GPS da tsarin makamantansu), sadarwa ta ƙasa da ƙasa, daidaitawar ma'amaloli na kuɗi, lura da yanayi da sa ido kan sauyin yanayi, da sauran muhimman ayyuka, za su shafi.

Hadarin ba zai takaita ga tsarin Yammacin duniya ba. Tashar Sararin Samaniya ta Duniya Kuma tashar sararin samaniya ta Tiangong ta kasar Sin, wacce ke tashi a ƙasa da tauraruwar Starlink, tana iya fuskantar barazana daga faɗuwar ƙananan kwalaye da tarkace daga manyan wurare, wanda hakan ke haifar da babban haɗari ga 'yan sama jannati da kuma 'yan sama jannati daga hukumomi daban-daban, ciki har da na Rasha.

Makami wanda zai kuma yi wa Rasha da China barazana

Duk da irin rahotannin da ke da ban tsoro, manazarta da dama da AP da sauran kafofin watsa labarai na musamman suka yi shawara da su sun ci gaba da nuna kyakkyawan fata. mai tsananin shakka game da ko Moscow za ta yi amfani da irin wannan tsarin. Babban hujjar ita ce mai sauƙi: irin wannan makami mara bambanci zai cutar da ba kawai ƙasashen yamma ba, har ma da ƙasashen yamma. mallakin tauraron dan adam na Rasha da Chinada kuma ayyukan sararin samaniya na ƙasashen biyu nan gaba.

Victoria Samson, ƙwararriya a fannin tsaron sararin samaniya a gidauniyar Secure World Foundation da ke Amurka, ta ce: yana la'akari da cewa wannan nau'in ci gaba "Zai yi wa Rasha kanta babban rashi.Bayan shekaru da dama na zuba jari a fannin tattalin arziki, fasaha, da albarkatun ɗan adam don ƙarfafa kansa a matsayin ƙarfin sararin samaniya, Kremlin za ta yi kasadar yanke hanyar shiga ƙasa mai nisa a sararin samaniyar duniya ba zato ba tsammani idan ta haifar da jerin karo-karo marasa tabbas..

Samson bai yi watsi da cewa binciken, a wani ɓangare, na yanayin gwaji ko ra'ayiWannan abu ne da aka saba yi a shirye-shiryen soja. Masana kimiyya da ƙungiyoyin tsaro za su iya bincika ra'ayoyi masu tsauri ba tare da nuna cewa za a tura su ba. Hakanan yana barin yiwuwar cewa ɓullar waɗannan iyawa wani ɓangare ne na dabarun tasiri: haɓaka fahimtar barazana na iya zama hujja. ƙara kasafin kuɗi don ƙarfin sararin samaniya da Amurka da kawayenta suka yi.

Sabanin haka, kwamandojin soji kamar Brigadier Janar Christopher Horner, shugaban sashen sararin samaniya na rundunar sojojin Kanada, ya nuna cewa aikin "Ba abin da za a iya musantawa ba neSun ƙara da cewa, "Ganin cewa Washington ta taɓa zargin Rasha da yin bincike kan makaman nukiliya da ke amfani da sararin samaniya, idan Moscow ta yarda ta yi nisa haka," in ji su, "ba zai zama abin da bai dace ba a gare ta ta binciki zaɓuɓɓuka a mataki ɗaya a ƙasa, amma kuma ta kawo cikas ga zaman lafiya."

Starlink, muhimmin sashi a yakin Ukraine

Muhimmancin Starlink a cikin wannan lissafin dole ne ya shafi, sama da duka, tare da shi rawar da ya taka a yakin UkraineKwanaki kaɗan bayan fara mamayar da aka yi, a watan Fabrairun 2022, an kunna tsarin a faɗin ƙasar bayan buƙatar gaggawa daga kyiv zuwa SpaceX don maye gurbin hanyoyin sadarwa da Rasha ta lalata.

Tun daga lokacin, tashoshin sadarwa sun zama muhimman kayayyakin more rayuwa ga sojojin UkraineSun ba da damar daidaita rundunonin da ke kan gaba, jagorantar jiragen sama marasa matuki da manyan bindigogi, kula da hanyoyin sadarwa masu tsaro tsakanin kwamandojin soji, da kuma tabbatar da cewa asibitoci, hukumomin gaggawa, da gwamnatocin kananan hukumomi suna ci gaba da kasancewa a hade koda a lokacin katsewar wutar lantarki da bama-bamai.

A aikace, ƙungiyar taurarin Elon Musk ta haɗa kanta a matsayin babban ɓangare na fifikon sararin samaniya na Yamma Wannan ya bambanta da Rasha, wanda ya bayyana dalilin da yasa Kremlin ke ɗaukarta a matsayin wani abu mai kama da na'urar soja ta NATO. A gaskiya ma, jami'an Rasha sun sha faɗin cewa tauraron ɗan adam na kasuwanci da Ukraine ke amfani da su za a iya ɗaukar su a matsayin "maƙasudin halal."

A daidai lokacin da ake zargin an ci gaba da kai hari kan makamin "tasirin yanki", Moscow ta sanar da hakan. tura tsarin makami mai linzami na S-500a cewar hukumomin Rasha, ikon isa ga wuraren da ake hari a ƙasan sararin samaniyar Duniya. Wannan hanya mai matakai biyu—makamai masu linzami na gargajiya akan takamaiman wurare da kuma yiwuwar tsarin pellet akan dukkan taurari—yana ƙara rura wutar fargabar cewa sararin samaniya yana ƙara zama kamar sabon gidan wasan kwaikwayo na fafatawar soja.

Shaidun da hukumomin leƙen asiri na ƙasashen yamma suka tattara, babban rawar da Starlink ke takawa a Ukraine, da kuma ƙungiyoyin Rasha a fannin tsaron sararin samaniya sun nuna wani yanayi mai ban sha'awa: tsere don iko da sararin samaniya kusa da Duniya wanda duk wani kuskure zai iya haifar da mummunan sakamako ga dukkan masu ruwa da tsaki, tare da sakamakon da zai wuce rikicin da ake ciki yanzu kuma ya shafi rayuwar yau da kullun a Turai da sauran duniya gaba ɗaya.

Labarin da ke da alaƙa:

EU ta ci tarar X da Elon Musk sun yi kira da a soke kungiyar

Alberto Navarro

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