- Silver yafika pa $51 pagawo lililonse pambuyo pa msonkhano wamphamvu wapachaka.
- Kuperewera kwa zinthu ndi kufunikira kwa mafakitale (dzuwa ndi zamagetsi) zikuthandizira kukwera.
- Miyezo yotsutsa pa $ 50,90- $ 51,00 ndi $ 52,00; milingo yothandizira pa $47,74, $45,91, ndi $43,78.
- Kusamvana pamsika wakuthupi waku London komanso kusakhazikika kwakukulu; zitsanzo za $ 60 kapena kukonzanso kwa $ 40.
Mtengo wa siliva unakulanso ndipo unafika pamlingo wa $ 51 pa ounce, mlingo womwe sunawonekere kwa zaka makumi angapo. Kudumphira kumathandizidwa ndi kuphatikiza kwa malo otetezeka ndi zolowetsa mafakitale, komanso ziyembekezo za kuchepetsa ndalama ku US komanso m'nyengo ya kusatsimikizika kwakukulu.
Kukankha uku kumabwera ndi msika mu gawo losavuta: zizindikiro zaukadaulo zimalozera overbought mikhalidwe Zomwe zakhala zikugwedezeka kale, kupuma pang'ono kapena kukokana sikumachotsedwa musanayambe kusuntha kwatsopano. Ngakhale zili choncho, zomwe zimafunikira komanso zoletsa zomwe zimaperekedwa zimasunga kukondera komwe kuli koyenera kuzitsulo zoyera.
Zomwe zachitika posachedwa komanso milingo yaukadaulo kuti muwone
Kapangidwe kaukadaulo kamakhalabe kolimbikitsa malinga ngati mtengo umakhalabe pamwamba pa 100-day exponential move average Pa tchati cha tsiku ndi tsiku, gawo la 14 la RSI likuyendayenda pamtunda wapamwamba (kuzungulira 79-80), kutanthauza kugwirizanitsa kotheka popanda kusokoneza chikhalidwe chachikulu.
Pamwamba, dera la $ 50,90-51,00 Imakhala ngati kukana kofunikira polumikizana ndi malire apamwamba a Bollinger Band komanso malingaliro amalingaliro. Kutseka kowoneka bwino pamwambapa kungapangitse njira yopita kumtunda wanthawi zonse 51,24 $ ndipo, pamwamba, sitepe yozungulira ya $52,00.
M'lingaliro la bearish, chithandizo choyamba choyenera chilipo 47,74 $ (ochepera pa Okutobala 8), ndi zowonjezera mu 45,91 $ (ochepera pa Okutobala 2) ndi $43,78 (Seputembara 25 otsika). Kuwataya kungapangitse chiopsezo cha kuwongolera mozama.
Madalaivala amtengo wapatali
Msika unyolo wake chaka chachisanu cha kuperewera pakupereka: m'zigawo sikokwanira kubisa aggregate zofuna. Malinga ndi Metals Focus, Kusalinganika kungakhale pafupifupi ma ounces 187,6 miliyoni. mu 2025, mbiri yakale yokwezeka kwambiri yomwe imatsikira kumitengo.
Mwendo wa mafakitale ukuyimira kale pafupifupi 59% ya chakudya okwana, ndi mapanelo adzuwa ngati vector yayikulu: akuyembekezeka kuyamwa pafupifupi ma ounces 195,7 miliyoni chaka chinoZowonjezera pa izi ndi ma semiconductors (AI), magalimoto amagetsi, ndi zamagetsi ogula, zomwe zikusunga kukakamizidwa pakufunika.
Pamalo, India yatulukira ngati kukula gwero la ndalama Kutsatira kuvomerezedwa kwa ma ETF othandizidwa ndi siliva, pomwe China imakulitsa kugwiritsa ntchito mafakitale kwa ma photovoltaics ndi matekinoloje okhudzana nawo. Ma injini awiri aku Asia akukankhana mofanana.
Macro ndi kufunikira kothawirako
Kufufuza njira zolimbana ndi kukwera kwa mitengo, ngongole zambiri zaboma, komanso kusatsimikizika kwapadziko lonse lapansi kukulimbikitsa chidwi cha zitsulo. Monga momwe akatswiri amsika amafotokozera mwachidule, ntchito ziwiri za silver—pogona ndi zopangira mafakitale- zimatengera kulemera kwakukulu pamene ndondomeko ya ndalama ikufuna kusinthasintha kwakukulu ndipo chuma chenicheni chimafuna zitsulo zambiri.
M'mawu a akatswiri apadera, madalaivala aakulu a kuchira uku -kusungira kusiyanasiyana ndi kukula kwa ngongole zadziko lonse lapansi - khalani bwino, kugwira kukondera kwanthawi yayitali ngakhale kukwera ndi kutsika kwakanthawi.
Chotchinga chamalingaliro cha $ 50 ndi galasi lambiri
Dera la 50 $ Zakhala zovuta m'mbiri kuti zigonjetse ndikusunga pakapita nthawi.M'magawo ngati 1980 ndi 2011, njirazo zidatsatiridwa ndikuwongolera koopsa. Akatswiri ena amalankhula za "kuwoloka Rubicon" kutanthauza kuphatikiza motsimikizika pamwamba pazipatazo.
Akukonzekeranso kutsutsana zomwe zingatheke pofupikitsa. Tawona kale mayendedwe akuthwa omwe amatha mosinthana kwambiri. Ndikoyenera kulingalira zolepheretsa mwachangu -Mwachitsanzo, mpaka $45- popanda maziko akusintha kwambiri, chikumbutso kuti Silver ndi msika wovuta kwambiri.
Chiŵerengero cha golide/siliva ndi zochitika zamtengo wapatali
La Chiŵerengero cha golidi/siliva chatsika pansi pa avareji yake ya zaka 10., kusuntha komwe nthawi zambiri kumatsagana ndi magawo a bullish muzitsulo. Muzochitika zongopeka pomwe golide adafikira 4.200 $ ndi chiŵerengero akutsikira 70, siliva akanakhoza anenera kwa chilengedwe cha 60 $Ngati golidi angafike pa $3.600 ndipo chiŵerengerocho chikakwera kufika pa 90, mtengo wake ukanakhala pafupi ndi 40 $.
Mu nthawi yaifupi kwambiri, the Siliva wapambana golide ngakhale kaima pang'ono muzitsulo zachikasuKomabe, panthawi yokonza, zimakhala zocheperapo kwambiri, choncho kuyang'anira zoopsa kumakhalabe kofunikira.
Kuvuta kwa msika wa London physical market
ndi Mitengo ya Spot idafika pa $50,85, ndi msika waku London kukumana ndi kusowa kwazitsulo zomwe zilipo komanso kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwa ndalama zobwereka. Mantha a tariff aku US athandizira kusamutsa kwazinthu, pomwe gawo lalikulu la mipiringidzo ili. kusokonezedwa mu ma vaults zomwe zimabwezera ETFs ndipo sizikuyenda kumsika.
Pa Comex, tsogolo likugulitsabe pang'ono pansi pa Januware 1980 mkulu (50,35 $). Kukumbukira kwa abale a Hunt omwe adayesa kulanda komanso magawo a #SilverSqueeze amatsimikizira kuthekera kwa nsonga zakuthwa ndi madontho mu nthawi yochepa.
Zolinga zazifupi zaukadaulo ndi zolinga
Patsikuli, Siliva yakwera mpaka 4,6%Ngati zomwe zikuchitika pano zikupitilirabe, mbiri yakale kuyambira 2011 ikuwonetsa zomwe zikuyembekezeka $ 59-60, ndi kukana kwapakatikati mozungulira 55 $ (113% Fibonacci yowonjezera).
Ngati mtengo ukulondola, ndi Dera la $ 45 limakhala ngati gawo lothandizira, mogwirizana ndi 23,6% kubwereranso kwa mafunde a bullish omwe adayamba mu April. Kubwereranso mwadongosolo kumeneko kungapangitse kuti chiwerengero cha ogula chikhale chokhazikika.
Zomwe akatswiri amayembekezera
Ena strategists amaganiza kuti, ngati msika gonjetsani chotchingacho pa $50 yokhala ndi solvency, siliva akhoza kukhazikika pamwamba pa mlingo umenewo. Zoyerekeza zochokera kumakampani monga HSBC zimayika mtengo mozungulira 55 $ mu 2026, ndi kuthekera kwachikatikati mu theka lachiwiri la chaka chimenecho.
Ndi kuphatikiza kwa chithandizo chambiri, kuchepa kwa zinthu, ndi kufunikira kwaukadaulo, kukondera kumakhalabe kosangalatsa, koma ndi chenjezo wamba: musachulukitse maudindo m'chinthu chomwe chimayenda mwamphamvu ndipo chitha kusinthana mayendedwe okwera mwachangu ndikugwa kolimba.
Chithunzi chodziwika bwino chimajambula chitsulo chomwe chapeza malo ophiphiritsira omwe amawotchedwa kusowa kwakuthupi, fufuzani pogona ndi ntchito zamafakitaleMiyezo yaukadaulo imawonetsa mapu amsewu omwe akubwera, kukana $50,90-$51,00 ndi $52,00 ndikuthandizira $47,74, $45,91, ndi $43,78. Pakati pa kuthekera kokulitsa msonkhanowo ku $ 55- $ 60 komanso chiopsezo chowongolera ku $ 40- $ 45, chofunikira ndikuwongolera kusakhazikika ndikuwunika msika wakuthupi.
Ndine wokonda zaukadaulo yemwe wasandutsa zokonda zake za "geek" kukhala ntchito. Ndakhala zaka zoposa 10 za moyo wanga ndikugwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo wotsogola komanso kusewera ndi mitundu yonse yamapulogalamu chifukwa cha chidwi chenicheni. Panopa ndaphunzira luso la pakompyuta komanso masewera a pakompyuta. Izi zili choncho chifukwa kwa zaka zoposa 5 ndakhala ndikulembera mawebusaiti osiyanasiyana pa teknoloji ndi masewera a pakompyuta, ndikupanga nkhani zomwe zimafuna kukupatsani zambiri zomwe mukufunikira m'chinenero chomwe chimamveka kwa aliyense.
Ngati muli ndi mafunso, chidziwitso changa chimachokera ku chilichonse chokhudzana ndi makina opangira Windows komanso Android pama foni am'manja. Ndipo kudzipereka kwanga ndi kwa inu, nthawi zonse ndimakhala wokonzeka kuthera mphindi zochepa ndikukuthandizani kuthetsa mafunso aliwonse omwe mungakhale nawo pa intaneti.