UTrump uyala ukuthi kuqalwe kabusha izivivinyo zenuzi "enkundleni yokudlala"

UDonald Trump umemezele ukuthi useyalele uMnyango Wezokuvikela ukuthi "uqale ngokushesha" ukuhlolwa kwezikhali zenuzi "endaweni yokudlala" namanye amandla.Umlayezo, oshicilelwe ku-Truth Social ngaphambi nje komhlangano wakhe no-Xi Jinping eNingizimu Korea, ugcizelela ukuthi, ngokubona kwakhe, "amanye amazwe ahlola amanzi" nokuthi i-United States kumele "ibuyisele." Eposini lakhe, Uze wabiza iPentagon ngokuthi "uMnyango Wezempi", ukwakheka okungokomlando okungajwayelekile enkulumweni esemthethweni. Lo myalelo unyusa ukungezwani phakathi kokuncintisana kwamasu neRussia neChina..

Lesi sitatimende sishiya umbuzo obalulekile: ukuthi ngabe lezi zivivinyo eziqhumayo zenuzi noma izinhlelo ezikwazi ukuthwala izikhali zenuzi, njengemicibisholo ejikijelwayo noma ama-drones angaphansi kwamanzi. UTrump uthe "inqubo izoqala ngokushesha"Kodwa akazange anikeze imininingwane mayelana nezindawo noma uhlelo." Lesi sinyathelo sizomela ushintsho ekumisweni okukhona kusukela ngo-1992.

Uthini ngempela uTrump?

Umlayezo kaTrump ugcizelela ukuthi "i-United States inezikhali zenuzi eziningi ukwedlula noma yiliphi elinye izwe" nokuthi isinqumo sakhe sifuna "ukulingana" neMoscow neBeijing. Ebuzwa e-Air Force One, wengeze ngokuthi indawo yokuhlola "izonqunywa kamuva" futhi wathi, "uma abanye behlola," kuku-United States "ukwenza futhi." I-White House kanye ne-Pentagon abakacacisi ukuthi lezi ziqhumane noma izivivinyo zesistimu..

Lesi simemezelo siqondane nomhlangano wakhe obekulindelwe ngabomvu noXi eBusan, umzamo wokusimamisa ubudlelwano ngemuva kwezinyanga zokungaboni ngaso linye kwezomnotho nezobuchwepheshe. Lesi sinqumo siphinde siqhamuke nesizinda samazwe amakhulu enza izikhali zawo zibe zesimanje kanye nokuwohloka kokulawulwa kwezikhali. Isikhathi sesimemezelo sengeza isisindo sezikhulu kulolu hlelo.

Ukuhlolwa kweziqhumane noma ukuhlola amasistimu?

Emashumini eminyaka amuva nje, amandla enuzi aphendukele ekulingiseni okuthembekile kakhulu nokuhlola izinto ezibalulekile, kanye nokuhlola izimoto ezilethwayo (imicibisholo nezinkundla) ngaphandle kokuqhumisa izikhali zenuzi. I-Russia isanda kubika ukuhlolwa kwe-Burevestnik nuclear-powered cruise missile kanye ne-Poseidon torpedo engenamuntu, zombili ezikwazi ukuthwala izikhali zenuzi. kodwa ngaphandle kokuqhuma kwenuzi.

I-United States iphinde yenze izivivinyo zezinhlelo: Amasosha Asolwandle avivinya imicibisholo ye-Trident eyethulwe ngaphansi kwamanzi amaningi ngoSepthemba. Noma kunjalo, ukuqhunyiswa kokugcina kwezikhali zenuzi e-US kuqale ngoSepthemba 23, 1992, ukuhlolwa kwe-"Divider", okwenziwa ngaphansi komhlaba e-Nevada ngemuva kokumenyezelwa kwesinqumo ngalowo nyaka. Ukuqalisa kabusha ukuhlolwa kokuqhuma kungaphawula ikhefu eliyingqophamlando emashumini amathathu eminyaka wokuzijwayeza..

Umnqamulajuqu, izindawo kanye nohlaka lwezomthetho

Ngokusho kweCongressional Research Service (CRS), ukulungiselela ukuhlolwa kwezikhali zenuzi kungathatha phakathi kwe-24 nezinyanga ze-36 kusukela ngosuku lomyalo kamongameli, ngezizathu zobuchwepheshe, zokuphepha, kanye nezomthetho. Indawo Yangaphambili Yokuhlola I-Nevada—manje eyi-Nevada National Security Site— Igcina ingqalasizinda engase iphinde isebenze ngokugunyazwa kukahulumeni.

Kusukela ngo-1996, lapho i-Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) ivulwa ukuze isayinwe, yi-India kuphela nePakistan (1998) kanye neNyakatho Korea (izikhathi ezimbalwa kusukela ngo-2006) eziqhumise izisetshenziswa zenuzi. Isivumelwano sokugcina esikhulu samazwe amabili, UKUQALA Okusha phakathi kwe-US neRussia, siphelelwa yisikhathi ngo-2026. okwengeza ukungaqiniseki ohlakeni lokulawula izingalo.

Ama-Arsenal kanye nebhalansi yamasu

I-Arms Control Association ilinganisela ukuthi iRussia inamakhanda empi acishe abe ngu-5.580 kanye ne-United States acishe abe ngu-5.225, agxile phakathi kwawo cishe amaphesenti angama-90 ezikhali zomhlaba. I-China inama-600 okungenani futhi ingadlula i-1.000 ekupheleni kweshumi leminyaka, ngokusho kwePentagon..

Ngokufanayo, i-China iye yandisa izisele zayo ezicitshwayo kanye nezakhiwo zokuqalisa, yahlola i-ICBM phezu kwePacific, futhi yabonisa i-nuclear triad yayo—izwe, ulwandle, nomoya—emibuzweni yakamuva. Le nqubekelaphambili, ehambisana nesimanje saseRussia kanye nokuhlolwa kwezinhlelo e-US, Kubhebhethekisa ukwesaba komjaho omusha wezikhali onamandla..

Ukusabela e-US nemilayezo evela e-Beijing

Lesi simemezelo sidonse ukugxekwa kwabamele iDemocratic Alliance eNevada, okuyisifunda esihlobene ngokomlando nalezi zilingo: USenator Jacky Rosen uxwayise ngokuthi uzolwela ukuvikela noma yikuphi ukuhlolwa kweziqhumane, kanti uKhongolose uDina Titus umemezele ukuthi uzokwethula umthetho wokukumisa. IsiShayamthetho saseNevada sakhipha isinqumo ngoMeyi sokugcina ukumiswa.

Ukusuka eBeijing, uMnyango Wezangaphandle uzwakalise ithemba lawo lokuthi iWashington izohlonipha ukuzibophezela kwayo ekumiseni izivivinyo zenuzi futhi ifake isandla ezenzweni ezibambekayo ekwandeni nasekuzinzeni kwamasu. UTrump, yena, uthe inhloso yakhe enkulu wukudilika nokuthi i-United States ibambe izingxoxo zokuqeda amandla enyukliya neRussia, okungenzeka ukuthi ifake neChina. Inkulumo-nkulumo ihlanganisa ingcindezi nesithembiso sezingxoxo ezintsha.

Ingqikithi yaseYurophu neSpanishi

E-Europe, ukuqaliswa kabusha kokuhlolwa—ngisho noma kusenhlabathini yase-US—kungaba nomthelela wezombangazwe nezokuphepha: ukuqinisa izikhundla zokuvimbela ngaphakathi kwe-NATO, kubeka ingcindezi emibusweni yokuqinisekisa ye-CTBT, kanye nempendulo engase ibe khona yezokuxhumana evela ku-EU. ISpain, njengozakwethu ku-Alliance kanye nomvikeli wokuncishiswa kwezikhali, izohlala ihambisana nokungabhebhetheki..

Kwabambisene baseYurophu, ubungozi obuyinhloko wukujikeleza kwesenzo nokusabela okusheshisa ukwenziwa kwezikhali zesimanjemanje futhi kube nzima ukwakhiwa kokulawula. Ukusabela kwenhloko-dolobha yaseYurophu kuzoncika ekutheni kumenyezelwe izivivinyo eziqhumayo noma izivivinyo zezinhlelo kuphela, umthelela ekuqinisekisweni kwamazwe ngamazwe, kanye nokuvela kokuxhumana phakathi kweWashington, iMoscow neBeijing. Igumbi lediplomate lokuqondisa lizoba ukhiye ekuvimbeleni ukukhuphuka.

Yini ecacile kuze kube manje

• Okuyaliwe: ukuqalisa izivivinyo "ngemibandela elinganayo" ne-Russia ne-China, ngaphandle kokucacisa ukuthi kuzoba khona yini ukuqhunyiswa.
• Yini engaziwa: indawo, isimiso kanye nobubanzi bezobuchwepheshe; ama-ejensi okuxoxiwe nawo awazange anikeze imininingwane.
• Ithini idatha: ukuqhuma kokugcina kwe-US ngo-1992; ukulungiselela ukuhlolwa okusha kungathatha izinyanga ezingama-24-36.
• Igoqelani: ingcindezi eyengeziwe kuhulumeni wokungabhebhetheki kanye nenkulumompikiswano yangaphakathi e-US, enomthelela we-geopolitical e-Europe.

Isinyathelo sikaTrump sivula isigaba sokunakwa okukhulu kwamazwe ngamazwe: phakathi kokuqinisekiswa kwesistimu okulula nokubuyela ekuhlolweni kokuqhuma, Umehluko ubalulekile ekuvikelekeni komhlaba wonke, ekulawuleni izingalo, nasekuzinzeni kweYurophu.Izitatimende ezisemthethweni ezilandelayo kanye nokusabela kwamanye amandla kuzonquma ukuthi ngabe lokhu kukhuphuka kuguqulela esenzweni noma kusalokhu kungumbango wamandla wezepolitiki nezobuchwepheshe.